Sabtu, 17 Desember 2011

Feltham by-election swing significant




A victory for Labour in a marginal London constituency which should send a shiver down the spines of the elitist Cameroons who have taken over the Conservative Party.

A party of the elite and not the grammar school boy.

The election result was a major slap in the face and should send a warning signal to David Cameron and his 'chums' that the economic plan set by George Osborne simply isnt working. Cutting too far and too fast is putting people out of work.

Labour warned that a douple-dip recession was likely in May 2010 and sadly our warnings, made time and time again, are sadly being proved right.

Now is the time for the Labour Party to set a credible deficit reduction plan and focus relentlessly on getting people back into work and paying our way back into recovery.

Dithering Tories are in total denial about this seat. A seat held by the Conservatives from 1979 to 1992, and was one which Cameron should have won in May 2010 had the public trusted the Tories with the keys to Number 10 last year. They have written off a seat that Cameron had targeted only last year.

Meanwhile, former Conservative Councillor John Ward has insinuated other reasons:

"such as the futility of putting up a non-Asian candidate in such places. With the "them and us" culture that has been nurtured and encouraged by the political Left, that in itself was almost certainly a significant vote-loser. Mark Bowen simply wasn't "one of us" to a large proportion of the electorate – nowhere near all, as it's mixed there, but enough to make a big difference".

With attitudes like these you will never form a decent majority

The public dont trust the right, their 'ideology' or their aristocratic leadership or the views of the grassroots right wing on equality of opportunity irrespective of wealth, race, background, creed or colour.

That message should be ringing loud and clear in Tories ears. Why did Cameron loose last year? Where was the Blair swing after the worst recession and poor leadership of Brown? Why are Labour polling in the high 30s / low 40s? Why dont people like us? Why are we out of touch? Why is our party, our youth wing and our national party, managed totally and almost universally by an out-of-touch (and public school) elite? Why are we not the party of the grafters anymore?

Party Candidate Votes % ±%

Labour Seema Malhotra 12,639 54.4 +10.8
Conservative Mark Bowen 6,436 27.7 -6.3
Liberal Democrat Roger Crouch 1,364 5.9 -7.8
UKIP Andrew Charalambous 1,276 5.5 +3.5
BNP Dave Furness 540 2.3 -1.2
Green Daniel Goldsmith 426 1.8 +0.7
English Democrats Roger Cooper 322 1.4 N/A
London PBP George Hallam 128 0.6 N/A
Bus-Pass Elvis Party David Bishop 93 0.4 N/A

Majority 6,203 (26.7%, +17.1% from GE)
Rejected ballots 75
Turnout 23,299 (28.8%, -31.1% from GE)
Labour hold: Swing +8.6% to Labour

Turnout 23,299 (28.8%, -31.1% from GE)
Labour hold: Swing +8.6% to Labour



Update

It seems that the 'right-leaning' and non-Conservative Conservative John Ward has jumped on my assertions that this seat was a marginal seat and has made some quite dubious suggestions on postal votes
  • This seat; held by the Conservatives between 1979-1992 (Patrick Ground MP) and was a target seat for the Conservatives in 2010 (Number 81 on list). It was classified as marginal by the Conservatives themselves and most pundits.
  • Postal Votes; The spin that this is postal votes is also spurious. Firstly because none of the same people can actually tell you the postal vote turnout; and the fact they ignore the fact that postal votes can be submitted up until polling day itself. Also postal voting is an accepted form of voting so to disparage a voting method which many Conservatives use to vote as well; is stupid. People should be given more ways to vote; with appropriate checks and balances in place. This did not win or loose the election for Labour.
  • The contradiction; the Tories have been polling higher in all polls up until the day of the vote which makes the result even worse for them. Despite the fact they were ahead they still had an 8.6% swing against tells you everything about the leadership, or lack-of of David Cameron
  • Lastly race; the insinuation 'Bowen' wasnt one of us is accurate; but it is nothing to do with race. It is to do with the fact that the Conservatives have not done enough to reach out to communities in the UK; if Conservative values were right, they would have voted for them.

This is a seat the Tories should have won in 2010 and didnt. It is a seat that epitomises the arrogant, elitist and out-of-touch approach of David Cameron which can not be ignored. He simply does not connect which is why he lost here in 2010, again in 2011, and didnt win a majority and on this score, wont ever.




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